Mohammad Reza Shah Pahlavi of Iran speaking at Washington National Airport, 1949.
Washington, 1949 - Mohammad Reza Shah Pahlavi on a state visit, three years after the Soviet-backed Azerbaijan crisis of 1946 made Iran an early Cold War flashpoint. Abbie Rowe, National Park Service · public domain · Wikimedia Commons
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Play as · Cold War 1947 · L4 · First Cold War Flashpoint

Iran - 1947

Iran in 1947 is where the Cold War was first fought and, for the moment, where the West first won. Occupied during the war by British and Soviet forces to secure a supply route, it became the site of the confrontation that opened the whole conflict: when the war ended, Soviet troops refused to leave the northern province of Azerbaijan and instead sponsored breakaway 'people's republics' in Azerbaijan and Kurdistan. The crisis of 1946 - the first great dispute brought before the new United Nations, and one of the first hard tests of American resolve - ended with the Soviets pressured into withdrawing and the separatist regimes collapsing before the Iranian army. In 1947 Iran is living in that aftermath: a weak, poor, tribally fractured monarchy under the young Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, sitting atop some of the world's largest oil reserves and squeezed between a Soviet neighbour that wants influence and oil, and a British interest that already controls the oil of the south. The strategic identity is the coveted weak state - the prize over which the first Cold War battle was won, and where the next could begin.

Starting position

The starting board is a nation that has just survived a great-power grab and must now consolidate. The Soviet-backed republics of the north have been crushed and central authority restored to Tabriz, a genuine victory - but the price was a promise. To lever the Soviets out, Prime Minister Qavam had dangled a northern oil concession before Moscow; in October 1947 the Majlis, emboldened by the Soviet retreat and American backing, votes decisively to reject it, a public repudiation that hardens Iran's tilt toward the West. In the south the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company pumps the oil that is Iran's greatest asset and pays the country a fraction that will fuel a nationalist explosion in a few years' time. The state itself is fragile - the Shah's throne is young and contested, the Majlis fractious, the tribes semi-autonomous, and the communist Tudeh party a real force. Iran holds a weak hand of internal strength and an extraordinarily strong one of geography and resources: oil, and a position on the Soviet Union's southern flank that no great power can ignore.

What turns the campaign

What Tehran wants is to preserve its independence and its territory against neighbours far stronger than itself, to gain real value and control from the oil beneath its soil, and to build a central state strong enough to hold a fractious country together. The obstacles are that its oil makes it a target, its weakness invites interference, and the two great powers on its flanks - a Soviet Union that wants influence and a share of the oil, a Britain that already holds the south's - both treat Iran as a field of play. The levers are the oil itself, the ultimate bargaining chip and the ultimate vulnerability; the emerging American interest, which offers a counterweight to both the Soviets and the British; and Iranian nationalism, a rising force that can be turned against foreign concessions. The fears are dismemberment on the Azerbaijan model, a Tudeh-led upheaval, and permanent subordination to whichever empire wins the contest for influence. The campaign turns on playing the powers against each other - using American support to resist the Soviets, using nationalism to claw back control of the oil - without becoming any patron's client or any neighbour's victim.

Signature challenge

The prize the Cold War fought over first

Iran's central strategic condition in 1947 is that it is weak, fractured and poor, and yet one of the most coveted pieces of ground on earth - because of the oil under it and the border it shares with the Soviet Union. It has just been the stage for the opening confrontation of the Cold War and come through with its territory intact, but the forces that made it a target have not gone away. NationFall surfaces this as the campaign's defining tension: a state whose internal weakness is matched only by its external importance, forced to survive by manoeuvre rather than strength - balancing a Soviet neighbour against a British interest against a new American patron, and turning the very oil that endangers it into the leverage that preserves it. The player inherits a young throne over a divided country and a resource the whole world wants, and must convert dangerous desirability into durable independence. Whether Iran consolidates as a sovereign power over its own oil and territory or is pulled apart between the empires that covet it is the question the early Cold War first posed here, and the campaign puts that balancing act in the player's hands.

Try the Iran campaign

Free demo. Pick Cold War. Pick Iran. Play the empires off each other and keep your oil.

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